Friday, June 13, 2008

The Dead Cat Bounce.

After cinching the nomination and getting Hillary Clinton’s endorsement, everyone expected Barack Obama to have a substantial bounce in the polls. Not only did the uptick seem paltry at seven, it has shrunk to less than half of that number within the week. The daily Gallup tracking poll now shows John McCain within the margin of error, only three points back:

Barack Obama leads John McCain in national registered voter preferences for the election, but by a slightly narrower margin than he had earlier this week, 46% vs. 43%.

Although Obama’s three percentage point advantage is statistically significant, it is down from the 6- to 7-point leads he had in Gallup Poll Daily tracking reports on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of this week